Insights

Positioning

The crowd is leaning into bets on prices rising, and paying more than it usually does to stay there.

4h bar · Sep 30, 04:00 UTC

Crowding Index

0.63

Leaning long

Middle of 58 contracts, each ranked against its own funding history.

Down from 0.78 a week ago.

Aug 31Sep 9Sep 20Sep 30

Dashed line is 0.5 — the market’s own usual.

What is behind the move

Open interest rising
Open interest falling
Price up
Price down

10 contracts moved too little in either to read a direction — 34% of turnover.

Most expensive to hold

Longs paying up

Expensive to stay long, and heavily positioned.

No contract clears the bar on this bar. That is the usual answer.

Shorts paying up

Expensive to stay short, and heavily positioned.

  • MOVRUSDT92.0% a yearOI z +21.7crowded 4h
  • NMRUSDT216.3% a yearOI z +3.7crowded a day
  • QNTUSDT10.8% a yearOI z +3.6new this bar
  • ASTERUSDT6.8% a yearOI z +1.1new this bar
  • HBARUSDT2.2% a yearOI z +3.0new this bar
  • AAVEUSDT1.3% a yearOI z +2.7new this bar

Crowded is a statement about cost, not about direction. Over 750 days, contracts in this state went on to do about 0.4% worse than the rest of the market over the following week — measured before any fee, and far too small to trade on its own.

Every contract scored

Perpetual contracts ranked by how much more than the market they are paying, with annualised funding, position in their own funding history, open interest z-score, 24-hour price change and what that combination means. A heading carrying an information button explains what its column is on hover, on focus, or when the button is pressed.
MarketFunding / yrvs marketOwn historyOI z24hOpen interestReading
GRASSUSDT+15.9%+0.350.98+3.9+1.2%$21MNew longs
INJUSDT+11.0%+0.300.93+0.2+0.7%$30MShort covering
BCHUSDT+11.0%+0.280.91+0.6−1.0%$114MLong liquidation
USELESSUSDT+21.1%+0.270.90−0.7+1.6%$19MShort covering
USUSDT+95.2%+0.260.89+1.4−22.9%$15MLong liquidation
ICPUSDT+11.0%+0.240.87+2.7+2.5%$35MNew longs
FETUSDT+11.0%+0.240.87+1.6−4.7%$34MNew shorts
PAXGUSDT+11.0%+0.230.86+2.0+1.2%$103MShort covering
ZECUSDT+11.0%+0.230.86−0.1−0.7%$631MLong liquidation
TRUMPUSDT+11.0%+0.210.84+0.1+1.0%$60MNew longs
DOTUSDT+11.0%+0.210.84−0.1+0.2%$38MUnchanged
UNIUSDT+11.0%+0.200.83+1.0−1.3%$239MUnchanged
ESPORTSUSDT+200.6%+0.200.83+0.8+5.2%$7MNew longs
CRVUSDT+11.0%+0.190.82+3.1−1.5%$31MLong liquidation
1000BONKUSDT+11.0%+0.160.79+1.8+4.8%$18MNew longs
DASHUSDT+11.0%+0.160.79−0.3−0.6%$27MLong liquidation
SOONUSDT+40.9%+0.160.79+5.2+37.0%$29MNew longs
1000PEPEUSDT+11.0%+0.140.77+0.6+0.7%$89MUnchanged
BNBUSDT+6.9%+0.130.76−0.4−0.8%$443MUnchanged
PUMPUSDT+11.0%+0.120.75+2.6+15.0%$117MNew longs
PENGUUSDT+11.0%+0.100.73+1.1+3.1%$36MNew longs
CELOUSDT+11.0%+0.090.72+3.9−5.2%$4MNew shorts
XPLUSDT+11.0%+0.090.72+0.7−4.9%$48MLong liquidation
ENAUSDT+11.0%+0.080.71+1.3−1.3%$142MUnchanged
WLDUSDT+5.7%+0.060.69+1.2−0.2%$101MUnchanged
DOGEUSDT+9.5%+0.050.69+1.0−1.3%$284MLong liquidation
0GUSDT+11.0%+0.010.65+4.6+19.0%$16MNew longs
ARBUSDT+7.2%+0.010.64+0.6−0.5%$60MUnchanged
ETHFIUSDT+11.0%+0.000.63+0.8+5.9%$28MNew longs
ETHUSDT+5.3%−0.000.63+0.8−1.4%$6.1BLong liquidation
LTCUSDT+6.2%−0.010.62+0.8−2.8%$98MLong liquidation
AVAXUSDT+6.4%−0.030.61+1.5−3.0%$121MLong liquidation
PHAUSDT+11.0%−0.030.60+1.7+15.2%$9MNew longs
NEARUSDT+10.8%−0.040.60+1.4+6.5%$256MNew longs
LITUSDT+11.0%−0.040.59−1.8−15.1%$64MLong liquidation
ZROUSDT+11.0%−0.050.58+2.6+15.2%$37MNew longs
ADAUSDT+7.1%−0.060.57+0.7−3.0%$95MLong liquidation
SUIUSDT+5.6%−0.080.55+1.4+1.1%$155MShort covering
XLMUSDT+5.6%−0.090.54+1.8−2.5%$60MLong liquidation
FILUSDT+5.7%−0.160.48+0.4+0.2%$53MUnchanged
XRPUSDT+0.5%−0.170.46+0.6−0.5%$477MUnchanged
SOLUSDT+0.8%−0.190.44+1.2−0.9%$978MLong liquidation
LINKUSDT+4.6%−0.210.42+1.5−5.9%$138MLong liquidation
APTUSDT+0.7%−0.220.42+0.9−6.0%$27MLong liquidation
ONDOUSDT+3.6%−0.270.37+1.3−5.1%$85MLong liquidation
PONSUSDT+30.1%−0.270.36+0.8+0.9%$44MNew longs
MARSCOINUSDT+11.0%−0.280.35+0.0−8.6%$24MLong liquidation
TAOUSDT+6.0%−0.380.25+0.4−4.0%$78MLong liquidation
AAVEUSDT−1.3%−0.420.22+2.7−2.8%$76MNew shorts
HBARUSDT−2.2%−0.460.18+3.0−9.3%$53MLong liquidation
龙虾USDT+11.0%−0.460.17−1.3−32.2%$19MLong liquidation
BTCUSDT−0.9%−0.480.15−1.5−0.8%$7.8BUnchanged
QNTUSDT−10.8%−0.540.10+3.6+8.1%$50MNew longs
HYPEUSDT−6.5%−0.540.10+0.9−2.7%$392MNew shorts
ASTERUSDT+6.8%−0.540.10+1.1+5.8%$96MNew longs
BTWUSDT+11.0%−0.610.02+0.4−13.9%$113MLong liquidation
NMRUSDT−216.3%−0.620.02+3.7−8.4%$8MLong liquidation
MOVRUSDT−92.0%−0.630.00+21.7+72.6%$12MNew longs

How this reading was made

Crowding index
0.63
Dispersion
0.28
Market OI z
+1.06
Contracts scored
58
Universe coverage
100%
Computed
Sep 30, 08:24 UTC

Not financial advice